Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 115.236808 127.188458 139.428671 152.875051 167.204675 181.992791 198.381132
2025-05-11 96.372629 114.300380 133.552255 155.645616 180.180651 206.477364 236.677039
2025-05-18 76.692945 97.752919 121.443805 149.775626 182.442369 218.643710 261.507672
2025-05-25 63.150624 86.218676 113.319723 146.957252 187.034576 232.725895 288.212743
2025-06-01 53.709385 78.228769 108.211758 146.682522 193.842358 248.916091 317.216123
2025-06-08 46.912422 72.595786 105.179296 148.243784 202.359833 266.865279 348.281815
2025-06-15 42.989350 70.149281 105.715005 153.903820 215.704685 290.598512 386.458942
2025-06-22 38.459739 66.303301 103.960493 156.260731 224.680914 308.924990 418.195236
2025-06-29 33.936117 61.916300 101.017514 156.669494 230.894252 323.686666 445.566464
2025-07-06 30.414268 58.575034 99.156354 158.226769 238.393729 339.979122 474.889715
2025-07-13 28.416293 57.315287 100.050780 163.419244 250.642777 362.375527 512.070401
2025-07-20 26.088802 55.261854 99.583094 166.562176 260.081631 381.186353 544.856312
2025-07-27 24.271718 53.920572 100.145045 171.258604 271.875336 403.475766 582.747181
2025-08-03 22.204170 51.934871 99.582007 174.265554 281.388099 422.931453 617.304897
2025-08-10 18.321859 46.263721 92.878824 167.912916 277.619199 424.633183 628.758554
2025-08-17 15.607697 42.339001 88.604008 164.860779 278.240246 432.037925 647.608015
2025-08-24 13.721468 39.737676 86.267619 164.563970 282.664926 444.532586 673.225288
2025-08-31 12.373374 38.031889 85.287274 166.256545 289.917065 460.909347 704.129527
2025-09-07 11.836286 37.972168 87.115621 172.387604 303.739202 486.467009 747.574949
2025-09-14 10.820985 36.720260 86.741510 174.939115 312.270300 504.765835 781.406452
2025-09-21 9.622585 34.864334 85.134263 175.381582 317.597496 518.606555 809.294524
2025-09-28 8.699857 33.511948 84.335200 177.066786 324.762025 535.054312 840.839798
2025-10-05 8.311807 33.429893 85.893065 182.682971 337.957369 560.136013 884.394374